MARKET OVERVIEW
Monday, November 9, 2026Real-time correlation matrix, uncorrelated asset pairs, and macro sentiment analysis. Updated weekly on Sundays.
"SPY is trading below VWAP at $752.72 vs $753.80 with RSI(14) at 7.7, indicating bearish momentum and no VWAP confirmation for a fade. The headlines are macro/geopolitical and do not provide a SPY-specific catalyst strong enough to justify liquidation or additional exposure. Maintaining the existing 15% position preserves optionality while respecting recent HOLD decisions and the lesson to avoid buying into bearish tape without VWAP confirmation."
Correlation Matrix
Uncorrelated Pairs with Positive Momentum
| Pair | Pearson | Spearman | 90d Return A | 90d Return B | Avg Return | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XLY/BTCUSDBEST Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund•Bitcoin to USD | 0.0015 | -0.1015 | 0.43% | 21.01% | 10.72% | |
BTCUSD/VIXY Bitcoin to USD•ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (Contango Roll Decay Risk) | 0.0045 | 0.0496 | 21.01% | 0.83% | 10.92% | |
XLE/UUP Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund•Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | -0.0050 | -0.0343 | 4.29% | 2.98% | 3.63% | |
ETHUSD/VIXY Ethereum to USD•ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (Contango Roll Decay Risk) | 0.0074 | 0.0305 | 19.82% | 0.83% | 10.32% | |
PDBC/UUP Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy•Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.0117 | -0.0542 | 5.65% | 2.98% | 4.31% | |
EWL/ETHUSD iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF•Ethereum to USD | 0.0182 | -0.0772 | 2.64% | 19.82% | 11.23% | |
VIG/BTCUSD Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund•Bitcoin to USD | -0.0186 | -0.0027 | 0.64% | 21.01% | 10.82% | |
XLE/VIXY Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund•ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (Contango Roll Decay Risk) | 0.0211 | 0.1990 | 4.29% | 0.83% | 2.56% | |
XOP/BTCUSD SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF•Bitcoin to USD | 0.0229 | 0.1038 | 1.36% | 21.01% | 11.19% | |
XLE/BTCUSD Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund•Bitcoin to USD | 0.0242 | 0.1120 | 4.29% | 21.01% | 12.65% | |
VIG/ETHUSD Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund•Ethereum to USD | 0.0328 | -0.0038 | 0.64% | 19.82% | 10.23% | |
XOP/UUP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF•Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | -0.0339 | -0.0896 | 1.36% | 2.98% | 2.17% | |
XRT/BTCUSD SPDR S&P Retail ETF•Bitcoin to USD | 0.0343 | -0.0227 | 2.13% | 21.01% | 11.57% | |
XLY/ETHUSD Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund•Ethereum to USD | 0.0470 | -0.0891 | 0.43% | 19.82% | 10.12% | |
USO/UUP United States Oil Fund•Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.0485 | -0.0220 | 18.88% | 2.98% | 10.93% | |
XLE/ETHUSD Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund•Ethereum to USD | -0.0533 | 0.0623 | 4.29% | 19.82% | 12.05% | |
XLB/BTCUSD Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund•Bitcoin to USD | 0.0535 | 0.0539 | 0.58% | 21.01% | 10.80% | |
EWL/BTCUSD iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF•Bitcoin to USD | -0.0535 | -0.0759 | 2.64% | 21.01% | 11.82% | |
XOP/ETHUSD SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF•Ethereum to USD | -0.0577 | 0.0460 | 1.36% | 19.82% | 10.59% | |
XOP/VIXY SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF•ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (Contango Roll Decay Risk) | 0.0598 | 0.1872 | 1.36% | 0.83% | 1.10% | |
UUP/BTCUSD Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund•Bitcoin to USD | -0.0852 | -0.0891 | 2.98% | 21.01% | 12.00% | |
XLE/XLB Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund•Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund | -0.0868 | 0.0090 | 4.29% | 0.58% | 2.44% | |
PDBC/BTCUSD Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy•Bitcoin to USD | -0.0903 | -0.0457 | 5.65% | 21.01% | 13.33% | |
USO/BTCUSD United States Oil Fund•Bitcoin to USD | -0.0993 | 0.0015 | 18.88% | 21.01% | 19.95% | |
UUP/ETHUSD Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund•Ethereum to USD | -0.1018 | -0.0335 | 2.98% | 19.82% | 11.40% | |
UUP/VIXY Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund•ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (Contango Roll Decay Risk) | 0.1053 | 0.2748 | 2.98% | 0.83% | 1.90% | |
XLE/VIG Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund•Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund | -0.1068 | -0.1877 | 4.29% | 0.64% | 2.46% | |
XLB/ETHUSD Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund•Ethereum to USD | 0.1135 | 0.0321 | 0.58% | 19.82% | 10.20% | |
XLB/XOP Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund•SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF | -0.1139 | -0.0212 | 0.58% | 1.36% | 0.97% | |
XRT/ETHUSD SPDR S&P Retail ETF•Ethereum to USD | 0.1153 | -0.0236 | 2.13% | 19.82% | 10.97% | |
XLV/ETHUSD Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund•Ethereum to USD | -0.1510 | -0.1826 | 10.57% | 19.82% | 15.19% | |
USO/ETHUSD United States Oil Fund•Ethereum to USD | -0.1556 | -0.0142 | 18.88% | 19.82% | 19.35% | |
XOP/VIG SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF•Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund | -0.1574 | -0.2476 | 1.36% | 0.64% | 1.00% | |
PDBC/ETHUSD Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy•Ethereum to USD | -0.1576 | -0.0732 | 5.65% | 19.82% | 12.73% | |
XLV/BTCUSD Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund•Bitcoin to USD | -0.1842 | -0.1860 | 10.57% | 21.01% | 15.79% | |
XLE/XLV Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund•Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund | -0.1880 | -0.2020 | 4.29% | 10.57% | 7.43% | |
XLV/UUP Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund•Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | -0.2311 | -0.0944 | 10.57% | 2.98% | 6.78% | |
XLV/XOP Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund•SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF | -0.2632 | -0.2824 | 10.57% | 1.36% | 5.97% | |
PDBC/VIXY Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy•ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (Contango Roll Decay Risk) | 0.2674 | 0.3132 | 5.65% | 0.83% | 3.24% | |
VIG/UUP Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund•Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | -0.2851 | -0.3143 | 0.64% | 2.98% | 1.81% | |
XLV/USO Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund•United States Oil Fund | -0.2883 | -0.3356 | 10.57% | 18.88% | 14.73% | |
XRT/UUP SPDR S&P Retail ETF•Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | -0.2991 | -0.1879 | 2.13% | 2.98% | 2.55% |
💡 Strategy Note
The most uncorrelated pair with positive returns is highlighted in blue. This combination of assets would have provided diversification benefits during the 90-day window while still generating positive returns. The XLK/XLE strategy (Technology + Energy) is a classic example of this approach.